Yuan Devaluation Ripples Across Asia as Currencies, Metals Drop

Rice

Resident Smart Arse
The yuan dropped the most in two decades, sparking a tumble in Asian currencies after China devalued its exchange rate to combat an economic slowdown. Commodities fell, while Hong Kong shares and U.S. Treasuries gained.
The yuan dropped 1.9 percent to 6.3270 per dollar as of 1:25 p.m. in Hong Kong, after the central bank cut its reference rate by a record and said market forces will play a greater role. It was the biggest one-day loss since China unified official and market exchange rates in 1994. The Bloomberg JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index sank to the lowest level since 2009, while a gauge of commodities lost 0.7 percent. Yields on 10-year Treasuries dropped three basis points. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index advanced 1.3 percent.
China’s devaluation follows economic reports this month showing a plunge in exports, weaker-than-estimated manufacturing and slowing credit growth. Policy makers in the biggest emerging market are trying to balance calls for economic stimulus against long-term goals of increasing the role of markets and cutting back on debt-fueled investment.
“Policy makers and the central bank are still very concerned about the overall economic-growth momentum,” said Qian Wang, Hong Kong-based senior economist for Asia Pacific at Vangaurd Group Inc. “China has suffered because of the strengthening of the currency.”
One-Time Move

The People’s Bank of China cut its daily reference rate for the currency by a record 1.9 percent. The change was a one-time adjustment, the central bank said in a statement, adding that it plans to keep the yuan stable at a “reasonable” level and will strengthen the market’s role in determining the fixing.
The currency’s closing levels in Shanghai were restricted to 6.2096 or 6.2097 versus the dollar for more than a week through Monday and daily moves have been a maximum 0.01 percent for a month.
The devaluation triggered declines of at least 1 percent in the currencies of Australia, South Korea and Singapore, whose currency fell the most since 2011. Criticism may be muted given the recent history of competitive devaluations globally, according to Bloomberg Economics analysts Tom Orlik and Fielding Chen.
The yuan slid 2.2 percent in offshore trading in Hong Kong, trading at the weakest level since September 2012.
Shanghai Composite

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.6 percent, while futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 0.4 percent. The Shanghai Composite Index was little changed as airlines sank on concern a weaker yuan will increase the burden of their dollar-denominated debt and hurt earnings.
The Bloomberg Commodity Index lost 0.6 percent after surging 2.4 percent Monday. Gold for immediate delivery retreated 0.5 percent to $1,099.30 an ounce Tuesday, while silver, platinum and palladium also weakened. Copper, nickel, lead, tin and aluminum dropped at least 1 percent in London.
“The depreciated yuan will reduce resources imports by China,” said Ren Gang, Vice General Manager of private trading house Qingdao Youbangyuan Trading Co., in Shanghai. “That’s bearish news for global commodities, but could help China squeeze its capacity glut.”
Treasuries rose as the yuan’s retreat boosted the appeal of dollar-denominated assets. U.S. 10-year note yields fell to 2.18 percent, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader data. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback against 10 of its most-traded peers, advanced 0.5 percent.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...s-buoyed-by-u-s-gains-as-oil-maintains-bounce
 
Australia has gone along for the ride - 1.27% drop so far since the announcement.

Thai Baht - 0.79%.

The Yanks will not like what the Chinese have done.
 
The Yanks will not like what the Chinese have done.

Trump was trumpeting this morning that the Chinese were out to get the US.

China’s decision to allow the yuan to depreciate is likely to create an outcry in Congress as the presidential-election season heats up, said Conference Board economist Andrew Polk. While China has taken the step for domestic reasons, that is unlikely to stop a divided Congress from reacting, he said. “It’s going to be a headache. Donald Trump is going to have a field day with this,” he added, referring to the real-estate developer and Republican presidential candidate.

The engineered fall in the yuan is likely to cause political ripples around the world. In particular it may reignite criticism of China’s tight control over the yuan’s exchange rate within the U.S. Congress and some American businesses, which have long said the currency was already too weak and set at a rate that allowed Chinese exporters to sell their goods artificially cheap on world markets.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-moves-to-devalue-the-yuan-1439258401
 
If you study the cross Xe rates against the USD you may see an interesting trend.

All of Asia bar Japan for some reason followed the Yuan, including Australia.

Seems to be a precursor to institute with the IMF, as The Yuan as a reserve currency.

A US interest hike is seeming less likely every day.
 
As of an hour a go The Yuan has just been dropped further 1.6%.

The Australian dollar has again plunged one US cent after China's central bank made another aggressive devaluation of its currency.
The People's Bank of China announced a 1.6 per cent devaluation of the yuan, following its surprise 1.85 per cent devaluation on Tuesday.
The PBoC said Tuesday's move was an attempt to prop up China's weakening export sector; the PBoC changed the trading range for the yuan against the US dollar.
Like most major currencies, the Australian dollar fell following the move, to a low of 72.16 US cents, from 73.23 cents just before the announcement at 1115 AEST, which was similar to Tuesday's fall.

They Did It Again - China Sinks Yuan 1.7%

USD/CNY pair surged as high as 6.4301 from its last close of 6.3231 - nearing the 2.0% daily trading limit which stands at 6.4600 - but is now at 6.4115

By Ewen Chew

Updated Aug. 11, 2015 9:55 p.m. ET 0 COMMENTS

0152 GMT [Dow Jones] The yuan is now worth 1.7% less against the U.S. dollar than it was yesterday, after the People’s Bank of China set the daily benchmark rate just marginally weaker. The sharp move in the yuan spot market - which dwarfs the change in the benchmark rate which was moved to 6.3306 from Tuesday’s 6.2298 - represents expectation that China’s central bank wants the yuan to depreciate further still. Though the yuan’s benchmark was only marked 0.1% down against its Tuesday close, the direction of change in the fixing was sufficient to trigger more bearish yuan bets. The USD/CNY pair surged as high as 6.4301 from its last close of 6.3231 - nearing the 2.0% daily trading limit which stands at 6.4600 - but is now at 6.4115. The yuan’s 3.4% collapse this week has battered most other Asian currencies, but particularly those that are more exposed to external trade effects, such as the South Korea won and the Singapore dollar.
 
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Don't forget that the market is manipulated for profit by the few.

As anyone with half a brain will tell you!
 
Don't forget that the market is manipulated for profit by the few.

As anyone with half a brain will tell you!

You can bet that the Chinese Pollitt Bureau Knew well in advance to make their shifty plays.
 
You can bet that the Chinese Pollitt Bureau Knew well in advance to make their shifty plays.

That could be considered by some to be insider dealing.

I'm not sure if it could be construed as "manipulating the market" for profit.
 
Keep an eye on this as well. Should have some solid effect on economies world wide.

http://money.cnn.com/2015/03/16/investing/oil-prices-gas-6-year-low/

Oil plunges to a 6-year low. Is $30 a barrel next?




By Matt Egan @mattmegan5



The story behind oil's plunge



Extremely cheap oil is back, and it may get even cheaper.

Crude plunged 4% to as low as $42.85 a barrel on Monday. That's the lowest price since March 2009 and marks the fifth consecutive day of losses.
This should bring smiles to the faces of the millions of American drivers who have watched gasoline prices creep higher in recent weeks.
A month ago, people were talking about an "oil comeback." Now that looks like just a mirage. More and more analysts predict prices of $40 or lower, at least in the near term.
"I think the market almost has to have a $30-handle on it before it gets this out of its system," said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service.
150316172145-oil-30-dollars-2-780x439.jpg
That could cause gas prices to take another tumble, Kloza says, bringing the average U.S. price back to around $2 a gallon. It's currently at $2.42.
Related: The 'smart money' is investing in oil now
What's fueling the latest plunge? The world still has too much oil. The supply glut that sparked the dramatic crash in crude from $100 a barrel last summer to under $50 in January remains. Oil settled at $43.88 on Monday.
The key now is to see a pullback in production, but so far no one wants to budge. OPEC hasn't scaled back production, and power player Saudi Arabia continues to say it has no intention to do so.
In the U.S., shale companies also continue to pump more and more oil. While there are signs that the number of oil drilling rigs has fallen significantly in recent weeks, there's a lag before that drop in rigs really translates into less production.
"Shale production is not getting dented," says Kloza.
150316111844-crude-oil-below-43-780x439.png

Related: Tomorrow's oil price? Guesses range from $20 to $200
Strong dollar, weak oil: At the same time, the U.S. dollar continues to skyrocket at an even faster pace than anyone expected. One dollar is now nearly worth one euro, and Goldman Sachs thinks the euro could plunge to just 80 cents by the end of 2017.
A stronger greenback is bad for oil prices because the black stuff trades in dollars. So when the dollar strengthens, it makes oil more expensive for foreign buyers whose own currencies are weaker.
One factor that could spark another round of selling is a nuclear deal with Iran that lifts sanctions on the country. Allowing Iranian oil to flood the market would only exacerbate the ongoing supply glut.
Related: The dollar is crushing other currencies
Key numbers to watch: While the oil slide has been going on for months, there are key thresholds that act as trigger points for the market. Crude's collapse below $43.50 a barrel on Monday represents one of those points.
Barclays said that breach makes the bank more negative on oil and signals a further move below $40. In other words, the selling is probably not done.
"It will overreact to the downside. There are an awful lot of smart people who think this market is on a rendezvous course with the December 2008 low of $32.40," says Kloza.
That level represents a modern day low, although it occurred under extremely different circumstances. Back then oil was slammed by lack of demand as the world's largest economy was trying to rescue itself from a major financial crisis. Today oil is falling because there is too much supply.
These prices probably won't last, experts say. Oil is unlikely to average a low figure like today's $43 for all of this year or next. But it's part of the recovery process.
"It's a little bit like a professional athlete tearing his meniscus. There is a lot of rehab needed," says Kloza.
Related: Saudi Arabia: Don't blame us for oil's big plunge
CNNMoney (New York) March 16, 2015: 5:39 PM E
 
Yuan depreciation isn't great news for stable economic growth in the region, and may increase the need for greater monetary easing. Japan, for example, is battling deflation and its economy is still getting over from a recession.They are probably buying up Yen to stop further deflation.

A weaker yuan may impact tourism among the Chinese, who will find their money has less power, this is what Thailand was relying on. Oops5

We live in interesting times.
 
Just think, all those airlines we use will want to drop the fuel levy soon. Not sure it will happen.

The Aussie dollar is doing slightly better against the baht this week. I guess the baht is suffering too.
 
Yuan down by 1% again today. (There's some indication that the Chinese will let the yuan float gently downwards until it stabilises)

NB I've just discovered that in an earlier post I typed yen when I mean yuan! Oops! Sorry!
 
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Yuan down by 1% again today. (There's some indication that the Chinese will let the yuan float gently downwards until it stabilises)

NB I've just discovered that in an earlier post I typed yen when I mean yuan! Oops! Sorry!

I think you are just catching up there has been two devaluations One on Monday and one yesterday. I might be wrong, but after checking it does not look like they have done it a third time IB.
 
chartgenerator.aspx


Can you blame me for the misconception I checked at 0300 and it had not changed.
 
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